Super Santa '23 odds: 95 ships, tiers V to VIII, up to 5.33%

Archived

Super Santa '23

19 official reward rows · guaranteed rewards

Bundle oddsYour chances of new ships across a 10× / 20× crate pack

Sign in as a Supporter to see your personalized odds of pulling 0, 1, 2, or 3+ new ships from a bundle - plus the odds of specific ship pairings.

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Listed oddsper pull, recursive through nested containers · same for every player

28.97%

28.97% per pull, from this crate's own rows

Promotion Orders

10×
ƒ
10×: 25% per pull - listed in this crate at 25%
25%
20×
ƒ
20×: 3.97% per pull - listed in this crate at 3.97%
3.97%

15%

15% per pull, from this crate's own rows

Camouflage

climbs as you collect

15× Holiday camos
ƒ
15× Holiday camos: 15% per pull - listed in this crate at 15%
15%

10.49%

10.49% per pull, from this crate's own rows

Premium ship

95 ships · climbs as you collect

Graf Spee, Gallant, Molotov, Exeter, P. E. Friedrich, Monaghan, Dunkerque, T-61, De Grasse, West Virginia
+12 more
, California, Warspite, Admiral Makarov, Arizona, Hyūga, Duca d'Aosta, Leone, London, Anshan, Huanghe, Mutsu, Hyūga Winter

ƒ
Graf Spee, Gallant, Molotov, Exeter, P. E. Friedrich, Monaghan, Dunkerque, T-61, De Grasse, West Virginia+12 more, California, Warspite, Admiral Makarov, Arizona, Hyūga, Duca d'Aosta, Leone, London, Anshan, Huanghe, Mutsu, Hyūga Winter: 5.33% per pull - listed in this crate at 5.33%
5.33%
Flint, Boise, Kidd, Sims, Strasbourg, Abruzzi, Le Terrible, Poltava, Orkan, Indianapolis
+22 more
, Benham, Gorizia, Charles F. Hughes, Nelson, Asashio, Cossack, Leningrad, Ashitaka, Charlemagne, München, Öland, Błyskawica, Duke of York, Z-39, Hood, Scharnhorst, Cheshire, Tiger '59, Atlanta, Florida, Algérie Winter, L. Maass Winter

ƒ
Flint, Boise, Kidd, Sims, Strasbourg, Abruzzi, Le Terrible, Poltava, Orkan, Indianapolis+22 more, Benham, Gorizia, Charles F. Hughes, Nelson, Asashio, Cossack, Leningrad, Ashitaka, Charlemagne, München, Öland, Błyskawica, Duke of York, Z-39, Hood, Scharnhorst, Cheshire, Tiger '59, Atlanta, Florida, Algérie Winter, L. Maass Winter: 3.5% per pull - listed in this crate at 3.5%
3.5%
Massachusetts, Belfast '43, Bayard, Suzuya, ZF-6, Azuma, Mainz, Roma, Tirpitz, Atago
+19 more
, Alabama, Prinz Eugen, Georgia, Wichita, Odin, Champagne, Plymouth, Siegfried, Brandenburg, P. Bagration, Loyang, Paolo Emilio, Monarch, Friesland, Flandre, Gascogne, Black, Kii, Georgia Winter

ƒ
Massachusetts, Belfast '43, Bayard, Suzuya, ZF-6, Azuma, Mainz, Roma, Tirpitz, Atago+19 more, Alabama, Prinz Eugen, Georgia, Wichita, Odin, Champagne, Plymouth, Siegfried, Brandenburg, P. Bagration, Loyang, Paolo Emilio, Monarch, Friesland, Flandre, Gascogne, Black, Kii, Georgia Winter: 1.5% per pull - listed in this crate at 1.5%
1.5%
Musashi, République
ƒ
Musashi, République: 0.15% per pull - listed in this crate at 0.15%
0.15%
Belfast, Jean Bart, Ochakov, Kutuzov, Ognevoi, Weimar, Yukikaze, Stalingrad, Lion, Kirisame
ƒ
Belfast, Jean Bart, Ochakov, Kutuzov, Ognevoi, Weimar, Yukikaze, Stalingrad, Lion, Kirisame: 0.013% per pull - listed in this crate at 0.013%
0.013%

10.02%

10.02% per pull, from this crate's own rows

Boosters & Premium

10 days of Premium Account
ƒ
10 days of Premium Account: 10% per pull - listed in this crate at 10%
10%
Superprize: 360 Days of Premium Account
ƒ
Superprize: 360 Days of Premium Account: 0.023% per pull - listed in this crate at 0.023%
0.023%

10%

10% per pull, from this crate's own rows

Credits

1,500,000
ƒ
1,500,000: 10% per pull - listed in this crate at 10%
10%

10%

10% per pull, from this crate's own rows

Global XP

25,000
ƒ
25,000: 10% per pull - listed in this crate at 10%
10%

5.5%

5.5% per pull, from this crate's own rows

Insignia

1×
ƒ
1×: 4.5% per pull - listed in this crate at 4.5%
4.5%
2×
ƒ
2×: 1% per pull - listed in this crate at 1%
1%

5.5%

5.5% per pull, from this crate's own rows

Commendation

1×
ƒ
1×: 4.5% per pull - listed in this crate at 4.5%
4.5%
4×
ƒ
4×: 1% per pull - listed in this crate at 1%
1%

4.5%

4.5% per pull, from this crate's own rows

Doubloons

1,500
ƒ
1,500: 4.5% per pull - listed in this crate at 4.5%
4.5%

Personalized Your odds Sign in to unlock

How to upload

Listed Generalized odds · all 19 reward rows Same odds for every player

25%10 Promotion Order
15%15 Holiday camos
10%1500000 Credits
10%25000 Global XP
10%10 days of Premium Account
4.5%1 Insignia
4.5%1500 doubloons
4.5%1 Commendation
3.967%20 Promotion Order
1%4 Commendation
1%2 Insignia
0.24% – 5.33%5.33% bucket of 22; climbs from 0.24% to 5.33% as you collect the othersTier V Premium ship

V Graf SpeeV GallantV MolotovV ExeterV P. E. FriedrichV MonaghanV DunkerqueV T-61V De GrasseV West VirginiaV CaliforniaV WarspiteV Admiral MakarovV ArizonaV HyūgaV Duca d'AostaV LeoneV LondonV AnshanV HuangheV MutsuV Hyūga Winter

Bundle10×: 42.17%20×: 66.56%at least one of these 22 ships · a specific one: 2.42% / 4.85% · pool-aware
0.11% – 3.5%3.5% bucket of 32; climbs from 0.11% to 3.5% as you collect the othersTier VI Premium ship

VI FlintVI BoiseVI KiddVI SimsVI StrasbourgVI AbruzziVI Le TerribleVI PoltavaVI OrkanVI IndianapolisVI BenhamVI GoriziaVI Charles F. HughesVI NelsonVI AsashioVI CossackVI LeningradVI AshitakaVI CharlemagneVI MünchenVI ÖlandVI BłyskawicaVI Duke of YorkVI Z-39VI HoodVI ScharnhorstVI CheshireVI Tiger '59VI AtlantaVI FloridaVI Algérie WinterVI L. Maass Winter

Bundle10×: 29.97%20×: 50.96%at least one of these 32 ships · a specific one: 1.09% / 2.19% · pool-aware
0.052% – 1.5%1.5% bucket of 29; climbs from 0.052% to 1.5% as you collect the othersTier VII Premium ship

VII MassachusettsVII Belfast '43VII BayardVII SuzuyaVII ZF-6VII AzumaVII MainzVII RomaVII TirpitzVII AtagoVII AlabamaVII Prinz EugenVII GeorgiaVII WichitaVII OdinVII ChampagneVII PlymouthVII SiegfriedVII BrandenburgVII P. BagrationVII LoyangVII Paolo EmilioVII MonarchVII FrieslandVII FlandreVII GascogneVII BlackVII KiiVII Georgia Winter

Bundle10×: 14.03%20×: 26.09%at least one of these 29 ships · a specific one: 0.52% / 1.03% · pool-aware
0.075% – 0.15%0.15% bucket of 2; climbs from 0.075% to 0.15% as you collect the othersTier VIII Premium ship

VIII MusashiVIII République

Bundle10×: 1.49%20×: 2.96%at least one of these 2 ships · a specific one: 0.75% / 1.5% · pool-aware
0.0077% – 0.023%0.023% bucket of 3; climbs from 0.0077% to 0.023% as you collect the othersSuperprize: Commander Items

- 160x Promotion Orders- 10x Insignia- 30x Commendations
0.023%Superprize: 360 Days of Premium Account
0.0013% – 0.013%0.013% bucket of 10; climbs from 0.0013% to 0.013% as you collect the othersSuperprize: Premium Ship

VI BelfastVII Jean BartVII OchakovVII KutuzovVI OgnevoiVII WeimarVI Yukikaze⭐ StalingradVII LionVII Kirisame

Bundle10×: 0.13%20×: 0.26%at least one of these 10 ships · a specific one: 0.013% / 0.026% · pool-aware
0.003%Superprize: 100,000 Doubloons

Container rules (from WG)

Already own it? That ship leaves this container's drop pool

If you already own a ship or Commander that can drop from this container, that item will be removed from the possible drops. This container uses a guaranteed rewards system. You are guaranteed to receive a Premium ship from the Tier V, VI, and VII categories in your 40th container if you were unlucky. This does not include Tier VIII or Superprize ships. Each time you receive a ship from this container, the guarantee counter resets. The guaranteed drop can occur as long as there are still ships that you don't have.

GamingDiver does not yet track how many of this crate you have opened, so the guaranteed-reward counters above are not factored into the personalized odds shown on ship pages. Treat the percentages as the per-pull bucket math; the guaranteed reward kicks in over a longer horizon.

Best-case pulls

0.003%Superprize: 100,000 Doubloons0.03% in a 10× pack · 0.06% in 20×
0.023%Superprize: Commander Items0.23% in a 10× pack · 0.46% in 20×
0.023%Superprize: 360 Days of Premium Account0.23% in a 10× pack · 0.46% in 20×

Per-crate chance, then the chance of seeing it at least once across a pack. Rows WG marks as a Superprize, plus outsized currency drops.

Effective ship odds, including nested containers

0.242273%AnshanTier V Premium ship
0.242273%ArizonaTier V Premium ship
0.242273%CaliforniaTier V Premium ship
0.242273%De GrasseTier V Premium ship
0.242273%Duca d'AostaTier V Premium ship
0.242273%DunkerqueTier V Premium ship
0.242273%ExeterTier V Premium ship
0.242273%GallantTier V Premium ship
0.242273%Graf SpeeTier V Premium ship
0.242273%HuangheTier V Premium ship
0.242273%HyūgaTier V Premium ship
0.242273%Hyūga WTier V Premium ship
0.242273%LeoneTier V Premium ship
0.242273%LondonTier V Premium ship
0.242273%MakarovTier V Premium ship
0.242273%MolotovTier V Premium ship
0.242273%MonaghanTier V Premium ship
0.242273%MutsuTier V Premium ship
0.242273%Prinz Eitel FriedrichTier V Premium ship
0.242273%T-61Tier V Premium ship
0.242273%WarspiteTier V Premium ship
0.242273%West VirginiaTier V Premium ship
0.109375%AbruzziTier VI Premium ship
0.109375%Algérie WTier VI Premium ship
0.109375%AsashioTier VI Premium ship
0.109375%AshitakaTier VI Premium ship
0.109375%AtlantaTier VI Premium ship
0.109375%BenhamTier VI Premium ship
0.109375%BoiseTier VI Premium ship
0.109375%BłyskawicaTier VI Premium ship
0.109375%CharlemagneTier VI Premium ship
0.109375%Charles F. HughesTier VI Premium ship

+ 63 more effective ship odds rows in the source graph.

Super Santa '23 odds

Super Santa '23

Resolved possible ships

Best-case pulls