Personalized Your odds
See odds tuned to your roster
The listed odds above assume a fresh account. Once you sign in and upload your battle data we recompute every ship-pool bucket as if Wargaming had removed the ships you already own from the draw — your real per-pull rate for a new ship is usually a lot higher than the listed range.
Listed Generalized odds · all 16 reward rows
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12.5%65,000 Global XP
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12.5%4,000,000 Credits
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10.5%20 Promotion Orders
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10%Santa Level 5 Crate
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10%1 Insignia
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10%2 Commendation
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0.27% – 6%6% bucket of 22; climbs from 0.27% to 6% as you collect the othersTier V Premium shipGraf SpeeGallantMolotovExeterP. E. FriedrichMonaghanDunkerqueT-61De GrasseWest VirginiaCaliforniaWarspiteAdmiral MakarovArizonaDuca d'AostaLeoneAnshanHuangheMutsuHyūga WinterAigleGuépard Winter
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5.35%2500 doubloons
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0.14% – 5%5% bucket of 35; climbs from 0.14% to 5% as you collect the othersTier VI Premium ship
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4.5%3 Insignia
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4.5%6 Commendation
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0.11% – 4%4% bucket of 35; climbs from 0.11% to 4% as you collect the othersTier VII Premium ship
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0.3% – 3%3% bucket of 10; climbs from 0.3% to 3% as you collect the othersTier VIII Premium ship
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0.18% – 2%2% bucket of 11; climbs from 0.18% to 2% as you collect the othersSuperprize: Premium Ship
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0.1%Superprize: Commander Items160x Promotion Orders, 10x Insignia, 30x Commendations
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0.05%Superprize: 50,000 Doubloons
Container rules (from WG)
If you already own a ship that can drop from this container, this ship will be removed from the possible drops. This container uses a guaranteed reward system. If you haven't received a Premium ship listed in the Tier V, VI, VII, or VIII categories from your last 29 Santa Level 4 crates opened, then you are guaranteed to receive one of the Premium ships listed in the Tier V, VI, VII, or VIII categories above in the next (30th) Santa Level 4 crate you open. If you already own all the Premium ships that the guaranteed reward system can drop (i.e. all Premium ships from the Tier V, VI, VII, and VIII categories in the Santa Level 4 crate), then the guaranteed reward system will no longer apply.
GamingDiver does not yet track how many of this crate you have opened, so the guaranteed-reward counters above are not factored into the personalized odds shown on ship pages. Treat the percentages as the per-pull bucket math; the guaranteed reward kicks in over a longer horizon.
Resolved possible ships
Effective ship odds, including nested containers
- 0.3%CarnotTier VIII Premium ship
- 0.3%HayateTier VIII Premium ship
- 0.3%IwamiTier VIII Premium ship
- 0.3%KronshtadtTier VIII Premium ship
- 0.3%Marco PoloTier VIII Premium ship
- 0.3%MarlboroughTier VIII Premium ship
- 0.3%MusashiTier VIII Premium ship
- 0.3%PommernTier VIII Premium ship
- 0.3%RépubliqueTier VIII Premium ship
- 0.3%Z-44Tier VIII Premium ship
- 0.25%AigleTier V Premium ship
- 0.25%AnshanTier V Premium ship
- 0.25%ArizonaTier V Premium ship
- 0.25%CaliforniaTier V Premium ship
- 0.25%De GrasseTier V Premium ship
- 0.25%Duca d'AostaTier V Premium ship
- 0.25%DunkerqueTier V Premium ship
- 0.25%ExeterTier V Premium ship
- 0.25%GallantTier V Premium ship
- 0.25%Graf SpeeTier V Premium ship
- 0.25%GuépardTier V Premium ship
- 0.25%Guépard WTier V Premium ship
- 0.25%HuangheTier V Premium ship
- 0.25%HyūgaTier V Premium ship
- 0.25%Hyūga WTier V Premium ship
- 0.25%LeoneTier V Premium ship
- 0.25%MakarovTier V Premium ship
- 0.25%MolotovTier V Premium ship
- 0.25%MonaghanTier V Premium ship
- 0.25%MutsuTier V Premium ship
- 0.25%Prinz Eitel FriedrichTier V Premium ship
- 0.25%T-61Tier V Premium ship
+ 178 more effective ship odds rows in the source graph.
